Self Control, Risk Aversion, and the Allais Paradox
نویسندگان
چکیده
This paper develops a dual-self model that is compatible with modern dynamic macroeconomic theory and evidence, and shows how it leads to a wide range of behavioral anomalies concerning risk, including the Allais paradox. We calibrate the model to obtain a quantitative fit, by extending the simpler “nightclub” model of Fudenberg and Levine [2006] by introducing consumption commitment. We find that most of the data can be explained with subjective interest rates in the range of 1-7%, short-run relative risk aversion of about 2, and a time horizon of one day for the short-run self.
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